JOURNAL ARTICLE
RESEARCH SUPPORT, N.I.H., EXTRAMURAL
RESEARCH SUPPORT, NON-U.S. GOV'T
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Dental attrition models predicting temporomandibular joint disease or masticatory muscle pain versus asymptomatic controls.

AIMS: To determine whether patients with temporomandibular joint disease or masticatory muscle pain can be usefully differentiated from asymptomatic controls using multifactorial classification tree models of attrition severity and/or rates.

METHODS: Measures of attrition severity and rates in patients diagnosed with disc displacement (n = 52), osteoarthrosis (n = 74), or masticatory muscle pain only (n = 43) were compared against those in asymptomatic controls (n = 132). Cross-validated classification tree models were tested for fit with sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and log likelihood accountability.

RESULTS: The model for identifying asymptomatic controls only required the three measures of attrition severity (anterior, mediotrusive and laterotrusive posterior) to be differentiated from the patients with a 74.2 +/- 3.8% cross-validation accuracy. This compared with cross-validation accuracies of 69.7 +/- 3.7% for differentiating disc displacement using anterior and laterotrusive attrition severity, 68.7 +/- 3.9% for differentiating disc displacement using anterior and laterotrusive attrition rates, 70.9 +/- 3.3% for differentiating osteoarthrosis using anterior attrition severity and rates, 94.6 +/- 2.1% for differentiating myofascial pain using mediotrusive and laterotrusive attrition severity, and 92.0 +/- 2.1% for differentiating myofascial pain using mediotrusive and anterior attrition rates. The myofascial pain models exceeded the > or =75% sensitivity and > or =90% specificity thresholds recommended for diagnostic tests, and the asymptomatic control model approached these thresholds.

CONCLUSION: Multifactorial models using attrition severity and rates may differentiate masticatory muscle pain patients from asymptomatic controls, and have some predictive value for differentiating intracapsular temporomandibular disorder patients as well.

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