Study of predictive value of pediatric risk of mortality (PRISM) score in children with end stage liver disease and fulminant hepatic failure.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the use of the PRISM score as a predictor of outcome in patients with end stage liver disease (ESLD) and fulminant hepatic failure (FHF).

METHODS: The present study included 30 patients with ESLD and FHF, with ages ranging from 2 to 108 months, who were admitted to the Emergency room (ER) and the Pediatric Hepatology Unit at Cairo University Children's Hospital (tertiary referral hospital) over a six-month-period from May through October 2008. Survivors were followed up for 6 months. Two other scores were also calculated, the PELD score and the Child-Pugh score. The outcome was defined as survivors and deceased.

RESULTS: Deceased patients as compared with survivors were significantly younger (median age 7 vs. 24 months, p=0.003). A ROC curve was constructed for the PRISM score, the predicted death rate (PDR) and the PELD score in the 30 patients. PRISM score was significantly associated with mortality (p=0.04). The best cut off value was 9.5 (70.6% sensitive and 61% specific). PDR was also significantly associated with mortality (p=0.011). The best cut off value for PDR was 5.95 (70.6% sensitive, 85% specific). On the other hand, the PELD score was not associated with mortality (p=0.202).

CONCLUSIONS: PRISM score can be applied with an adequate degree of accuracy for severity assessment and mortality prediction to pediatric patients with ESLD or FHF.