Retrospective analysis of factors predicting end-stage renal failure or death in patients with microscopic polyangiitis with mainly renal involvement.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for end-stage renal failure (ESRF) or death in Japanese patients with microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) with renal involvement.

METHODS: From 54 consecutive patients with systemic vasculitis based on Watt's algorithm, we retrospectively analyzed 39 MPA patients with renal involvement, including 19 (48.7 %) with renal-limited vasculitis.

RESULTS: Thirty-three of 39 patients (84.6 %) demonstrated rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis, and 13 (33.3 %) developed ESRF; 8 of 13 required dialysis within 1 week. Thirteen (33.3 %) died during follow-up of more than 12 months, and 7 died during the first 6 months, mainly because of opportunistic infections. Overall survival at 6 and 12 months was 79.5 and 71.1 %, respectively. Serum creatinine levels did not differ significantly between survivors and non-survivors (P = 0.092). The mean Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score, version 3 (BVAS v.3), was 16.2 ± 6.5, with a renal subscore of over 12 points in 82.1 %, and BVAS v.3 was marginally higher in non-survivors than survivors (P = 0.045). An age- and sex-adjusted Cox proportional hazards analysis demonstrated that neither the serum creatinine level (P = 0.277) nor BVAS v.3 (P = 0.188) at initial diagnosis was a risk factor for overall survival. The baseline serum creatinine cutoff value for discriminating between ESRF and non-ESRF was 4.6 mg/dl, with a sensitivity and specificity of 92.3 and 84.6 %, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS: Survival rates do not relate to ESRF in MPA patients with mainly renal involvement. Although patients with ESRF required regular hemodialysis, longer survival can be achieved.