Sclerostin is an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality in kidney transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Sclerostin is a hormone contributing to the bone-vascular wall cross talk and has been implicated in cardiovascular events and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We analyzed the relationship between sclerostin and mortality in renal transplant recipients.

METHODS: 600 stable renal transplant recipients (367men, 233 women) were followed for all-cause mortality for 3 years. Blood and urine samples for analysis and clinical data were collected at study entry. We performed Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox regression models considering confounding factors such as age, eGFR, cold ischemia time, HbA1c, phosphate, calcium, and albumin. Optimal cut-off values for the Cox regression model were calculated based on ROC analysis.

RESULTS: Sixty-five patients died during the observation period. Nonsurvivors (n = 65; sclerostin 57.31 ± 30.28 pmol/L) had higher plasma sclerostin levels than survivors (n = 535; sclerostin 47.52 ± 24.87 pmol/L) (p = 0.0036). Kaplan-Meier curve showed that baseline plasma sclerostin concentrations were associated with all-cause mortality in stable kidney transplant recipients (p = 0.0085, log-rank test). After multiple Cox regression analysis, plasma levels of sclerostin remained an independent predictor of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.011; 95% CI 1.002-1.020; p = 0.0137).

CONCLUSIONS: Baseline plasma sclerostin is an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality in patients after kidney transplantation.